Монголын Анагаахын Сэтгүүлүүдийн Холбоо (МАСХ)
Инноваци - Шинэ Санаа, Шинэ Нээлт, 2014, 12(8-1)
Predicted 4 and 10-years risk of major CVD of diabetic pateints
( Судалгааны өгүүлэл )

Banzragch B1, Sainbileg S2, Suvd J2

1- Second General Hospital, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
2- Health Sciences University of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
 
AIM
Aim of this study was to evaluate Predicted 4 and 10-years risk of major CVD of DM patients.
METHODS
Cross-sectional study included 80 (40 male and 40 female) DM patients with mean age 66.32 ±7.94 years old. Predicted 4-year risk of major CVD was calculated by using
ADVANCE Risk Engine of the George Institute for Global Health, Australia. Ten parameters (age at diagnosed diabetes, duration of diabetes, sex, atrial fibrillation, retinopathy,
HbA1C, pulse pressure, treated hypertension, albuminuria and Non HDL-cholesterol) were used for risk calculation. Predicted 10-year risk of major CVD was calculated by
using WHO/ISH risk prediction chartrs Parameters (age, sex, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, smoking) were used for risk calculation.
RESULTS
Our study relieved that average of diagnosis diabetes was 54.98±9.37 years old and mean diabetes duration was 11.35±7.46 years. DM patient with atrial fibrillation,
retinopathy and treated hypertension were 0(0%), 20(16%) and 77.5(62%). Mean HbA1C, microalbuminuria and Non HDL cholesterol were 7.74±1.5%, 49.99±94.02 mg/l and
3.61±1.08 mmol/l. DM patients with <10%, 11-20% and >20% Predicted 4-year risk of major CVD were 64( 80%), 12 (15%) and 4(5.0%). Age (p<0.042), age at diagnosed
diabetes (p=0.013), duration of diabetes (p=0.045), total cholesterol (p<0.027) Microalbuminuria (p<0.001) and retinopathy (p=0.028) were risks for Predicted 4-year
risk of major CVD.
DM patients with <10%, 11-20%, 20-30%, >30% Predicted 10-year risk of major CVD were 44 (55%), 20 (25%), 6 (7.5.0%) and 10 (12.5%). Age (p=0.008), total cholesterol
(p=0.001), systolic blood pressure (p=0.001) and treated hypertension (p=0.023) were risks for Predicted 10-year risk of major CVD.
CONCLUSIONS
Among the diabetic patients 80% have a low, 15% have a moderate and 5.0% have a high Predicted 4-year risk of major CVD. Age (p<0.042), age at diagnosed
diabetes (p=0.013), , duration of diabetes (p=0.045), total cholesterol (p<0.027) Microalbuminuria (p<0.001) and retinopathy (p=0.028) were risks for Predicted 4-year
risk of major CVD. Among the diabetic patients 55% have a low, 25% have a moderate, 7.5% have a high and 12.5% have a very high Predicted 10-year risk of major CVD. Age
(p=0.008), total cholesterol (p=0.00, systolic blood pressure (p=0.001) and treated hypertension (p=0.023) were risks for Predicted 10-year risk of major CVD.
 


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