1School of Public Health, HSUM, 2National Cancer Center
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Breast cancer morbidity and mortality rates remain relatively high despite implementation of programs such as “National Cancer Control program”, “Sub-program on cancer prevention and control”,” National program on the Prevention and Control of Non-communicable diseases”, and having greater possibilities for the cancer to be prevented, detected earlier and treated.
A retrospective descriptive study was conducted for forecasting incidence and mortality trends. Time series analysis data on morbidity and mortality from breast cancer dated 1998-2012 were collected. Incidence per 100000 female populations increased from 5.8 to 10.4 in 2002 and 2012 respectively. Mortality from breast cancer per 100000 female populations was 2.0 and this increased to 3.2 per 100000 female populations in 2012.
Time series analysis data for the last 15 years predicts gradual increase in incidence trends of breast cancer in 2013-2022. The incidence of breast cancer will be 10.27, 10.48 and 12.58 in 2013, 2014 and 2022 respectively.
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